Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.032295 0.037597 0.043433 0.050324 0.058229 0.067006 0.077480
2025-09-21 0.023627 0.030338 0.038409 0.048796 0.061773 0.077410 0.097640
2025-09-28 0.018277 0.025571 0.035048 0.048183 0.065829 0.088613 0.120145
2025-10-05 0.015639 0.023581 0.034612 0.050908 0.074196 0.106069 0.152741
2025-10-12 0.013401 0.021621 0.033745 0.052704 0.081320 0.122541 0.185948
2025-10-19 0.010915 0.018773 0.031035 0.051254 0.083358 0.131831 0.209827
2025-10-26 0.009193 0.016768 0.029217 0.050759 0.086568 0.142968 0.237444
2025-11-02 0.007639 0.014739 0.026995 0.049196 0.087721 0.150842 0.260604
2025-11-09 0.006449 0.013122 0.025186 0.047994 0.089187 0.159191 0.285187
2025-11-16 0.005636 0.012050 0.024155 0.047960 0.092561 0.170930 0.316469
2025-11-23 0.004808 0.010794 0.022581 0.046673 0.093457 0.178364 0.340891
2025-11-30 0.004472 0.010482 0.022763 0.048724 0.100734 0.197803 0.388522
2025-12-07 0.003955 0.009707 0.021935 0.048724 0.104184 0.210782 0.426024
2025-12-14 0.003395 0.008734 0.020547 0.047384 0.104810 0.218496 0.454410
2025-12-21 0.002981 0.008021 0.019610 0.046857 0.107012 0.229454 0.490130
2025-12-28 0.002844 0.007959 0.020114 0.049549 0.116296 0.255415 0.558127
2026-01-04 0.002658 0.007735 0.020208 0.051319 0.123773 0.278382 0.622138
2026-01-11 0.002309 0.007017 0.019012 0.049914 0.124002 0.286185 0.655300
2026-01-18 0.002055 0.006508 0.018250 0.049436 0.126271 0.298532 0.699213
2026-01-25 0.001785 0.005898 0.017132 0.047914 0.125886 0.304980 0.730839
2026-02-01 0.001566 0.005391 0.016206 0.046742 0.126186 0.312955 0.766525
2026-02-08 0.001418 0.005073 0.015740 0.046709 0.129285 0.327600 0.818594
2026-02-15 0.001244 0.004635 0.014869 0.045454 0.129125 0.334572 0.853500